Correlation of tumor necrosis factor levels in the serum and cerebrospinal fluid with clinical outcome in Japanese encephalitis patients.

To investigate the prognostic role of tumour necrosis factor (TNF) in Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) infection, we measured the immunoreactive forms of TNF concentrations in the serum and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) of 47 laboratory-confirmed cases of JE. It was observed that TNF levels were elevated (> 15 pgm/ml) in all the 47 serum samples (range 19.4-923.8 pg/ml), while in 46/47 CSF samples TNF was elevated (range 10.8-376 pg/ml). The mean (SD) TNF levels in the serum of fatal cases was 234.34 pg/ml (304.40) as compared to the mean of 85.31 pg/ml (SD 153.92) in nonfatal cases. Similar observations were also made with respect to the TNF levels in the CSF; the mean of fatal cases was 69.39 pg/ ml (SD 39.00) in contrast to the mean of 62.41 pg/ml (SD 75.25) of nonfatal cases. The increase in TNF levels did not show any correlation to the duration of illness. It was further observed that the mortality rate increased with increasing concentrations of TNF in the serum and CSF. Correlation of laboratory parameters to final outcome revealed that TNF concentrations above 50 pg/ ml in serum correlated significantly (P = .05) with a fatal outcome, whilst high levels of JEV-IgM antibodies (> 500 units) in the CSF correlated with a nonfatal outcome (P = .03). These results suggest that TNF can be used as a possible prognosticator of a fatal outcome in JEV infection.