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PMID: 3082422 Published · ppublish English Clinical Trial Journal Article

Confidence intervals rather than P values: estimation rather than hypothesis testing.

British medical journal (Clinical research ed.) ·Vol. 292 ·No. 6522 ·1986-03-15 ·Pages 746-50

Gardner MJ, Altman DG

Abstract

Overemphasis on hypothesis testing--and the use of P values to dichotomise significant or non-significant results--has detracted from more useful approaches to interpreting study results, such as estimation and confidence intervals. In medical studies investigators are usually interested in determining the size of difference of a measured outcome between groups, rather than a simple indication of whether or not it is statistically significant. Confidence intervals present a range of values, on the basis of the sample data, in which the population value for such a difference may lie. Some methods of calculating confidence intervals for means and differences between means are given, with similar information for proportions. The paper also gives suggestions for graphical display. Confidence intervals, if appropriate to the type of study, should be used for major findings in both the main text of a paper and its abstract.

MeSH Terms
Adult Blood Pressure Clinical Trials as Topic Diabetes Mellitus/physiopathology Humans Middle Aged Probability Statistics as Topic/methods
Authors & Affiliations
2 authors, click to expand affiliations / ORCID
Gardner M J
Altman D G
References (9)
9 references, click to expand
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Article Info
Journal
British medical journal (Clinical research ed.)
Abbr.
Br Med J (Clin Res Ed)
ISSN
0267-0623
Published
1986-03-15
Pages
746-50
Language
English
Region
England
NLM ID
8302911
PMCID
PMC1339793
Subset
IM
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