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题目:: The future burden of cancer in England: incidence and numbers of new patients in 2020.
作者:: Møller(H),Fairley(L),Coupland(V),Okello(C),Green(M),Forman(D),Møller(B),Bray(F)
状态:: 发布时间2007-05-02 , 更新时间 2014-09-07
期刊:: Br J Cancer
摘要:: We estimated the future cancer incidence rates and the future numbers of cancer cases in England up to 2020 using cancer registration data for 1974-2003, and the official population projections from ONS up to 2023. Data were analysed using an age-period-cohort model as developed for the Nordic countries. We predict that for all cancers combined there will be relatively little change in age-standardised incidence rates in 2020. The number of new cancer cases per year in England is, however, predicted to increase by 33%, from 224,000 in 2001 to 299,000 cases in 2020. This increase is mainly due to the anticipated effects of population growth and ageing; cancer patients in 2020 will be older than today's cancer population.
语言:: eng
DOI:

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